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Jeff Bezos founded Amazon in 1994

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out of his garage as an online bookseller.

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Today, it is among the world's most valuable companies.

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He is one of the world's richest people,

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second only to Bill Gates.

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Amazon's ambition is to sell everything to everybody.

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Amazon's reach spans well beyond its retailing roots.

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Amazon Web Services is a leading company in the Cloud.

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In January, Amazon became the first digital streaming service

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to win a Golden Globe for best T.V. series.

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Jeff Bezos had many passions.

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He founded the aerospace company Blue Origin to lower

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the cost of space travel and increase its safety.

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In 2013, he purchased "The Washington Post."

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I met with him earlier today at the Economic Club

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here in New York.

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Here is that conversation.

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What is it that Amazon wants to be?

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Well, there are a couple of answers to that.

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Probably the biggest one, the best way, if I have to choose

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a single way to answer that question, is the thing that

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connects everything that Amazon does is the number one --

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our number one conviction and idea and philosophy

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and principle which is customer obsession,

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as opposed to competitor obsession.

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And so we are always focused on the customer, working backwards

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from the customer's needs, developing new skills internally

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so that we can satisfy what we perceive to be

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future customer needs.

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We have a whole working backward process that starts

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with the customer needs and works backwards.

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So that is really, if you look at, seems like we are in

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a bunch of different businesses.

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So we have Amazon Web Services which is completely different

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from our, you know, Amazon Prime Business

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or Amazon Marketplace, or Amazon Studios, and so on.

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But really, the way that the businesses are run

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is very, very similar.

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And it all starts with, it's not just customer obsession,

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that is the number one one.

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But we have a very inventive culture,

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so we like to pioneer invent.

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There are other very effective business strategies.

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Pioneering is not the only effective business strategy.

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In fact, some people would argue it's not the most effective one.

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Close following can be a very good business strategy and it's

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worked many times if you look at the history of business.

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But it isn't who we are.

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Willingness to think long-term.

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I think that is another common thread that runs through

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every single thing we do.

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We are very happy to invest in new initiatives that are very

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risky, for five to seven years, which most companies

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won't do that.

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Companies will invest for very long periods of time, and they

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should in those cases where the outcomes are more certain.

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It's the combination of the risk-taking and the long-term

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outlook that make Amazon, not unique, but special

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in a smaller crowd.

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And then finally, taking real pride in operational excellence,

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so just doing things well, finding defects,

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and working backwards.

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That is all the incremental improvement that in business,

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most successful companies are very good at this one.

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If you are not good at finding defects, finding the root cause

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of the defects, fixing that root cause, you don't want to

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ever let defects flow downstream.

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That is a key part of doing a good job in any business

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in my opinion.

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You still want to sell everything to everybody.

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Yeah, for sure.

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We started, just remember, 20 years ago, we were selling

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only books.

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I was driving all the packages to the post office myself.

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I thought maybe one day we would be able to afford a forklift.

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And it is very, it's very, very different today.

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But we, over time, we added music and we added videos.

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And then I sent an email message out to the customer base,

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actually a thousand randomly selected customers, and I said,

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besides books, music and video, what would you like

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to see us sell?

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And the list came back incredibly long.

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It was basically just whatever the person had

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on their mind right now.

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One of customers said, I wish you sold windshield wipers

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because I need windshield wipers for my car.

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A light kind of went on in my head.

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You know, people -- people will want to use this new fangled

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e-commerce way of shopping for everything.

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Because people are very convenience-motivated.

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And if we can do it, so that really started the kind of the

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expansion into all categories, consumer electronics,

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and then apparel, and so on.

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Take one example, apparel, you now have

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I think outpaced Macy's as the largest apparel seller

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in the world.

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Yeah, I don't know -- I've seen those headlines.

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I actually have not tried to track that.

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Back to not being competitor obsessed.

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But you know, we are selling a lot of apparel.

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And that team is doing a fantastic job.

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I do think, you know, if we're not the largest, we're among

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the largest apparel sellers in the world.

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And there is lots of room.

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You know, we keep improving.

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I think if you were to talk to our apparel team, they would

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tell you that they don't think we're very good at it yet.

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And still the business is going very well.

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So I am never disappointed when we're not good at something

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because I think, well think how good it's going to work

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when we are good at it.

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And the apparel is like that.

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There is so much opportunity.

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Nobody really knows how to do a great job of offering --

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apparel online yet.

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And we have tons of invention and ideas and working our way

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through that experimental list.

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You have said that there's three pillars --

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the Marketplace, Amazon Prime, and Amazon Web Services.

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That's right.

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Let's go in reverse order.

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Amazon Web Services now is the largest contributor to revenue

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it is said.

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Well, not to revenue.

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It's a big contributor to profit.

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Our retail business, by the way, in our established

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countries, is also very profitable.

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We keep investing so we are investing in video,

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original content with Amazon Studios and so on.

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But Amazon Web Services is a -- is remarkable I think

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for a couple of reasons.

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It follows all these principles that I laid out

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at the beginning.

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But one of the most unusual things that happened with Amazon

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Web Services is the amount of runway that we got, which is

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a gift, before we faced like-minded competition,

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we had -- it appears to me just empirically that if you invent

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a new way of doing something, typically if you are lucky,

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you get about two years of runway before competitors

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copy your idea.

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And two years is actually a pretty long time

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in a fast-moving industry so that's a big head start.

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For whatever reason, and I have a hypothesis

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of what the reason is.

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But for whatever reason, Amazon Web Services got seven years

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of runway before we faced like-minded competition.

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There were other people doing similar kinds of things but not

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the same way and not with the same approach and same mindset.

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And in my experience, that's unheard of

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to get so much runway.

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And I think the reason that that happened is because

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the incumbents in technology for enterprises, sort of

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infrastructure technology for enterprises, thought that what

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we were doing was just so damn weird that it could never work.

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And so we just kept very quiet about it.

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And we knew it was working, you know, and we would read news

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stories that would say things like, do you really think

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anybody is going to buy a mission critical enterprise

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infrastructure from an online bookseller?

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And we would look at that, you know, and certain people were

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praying on that and we would read those articles and we

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would look at our business statement and we would be like,

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well, they are.

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(LAUGHTER)

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So we kind of knew.

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But it was, so we got very lucky.

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That was a gift.

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And what that allowed us to do was build a gigantic advantage

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in terms of the feature set and the service offerings and

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the cost structure and everything else, that you just

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can't wave a magic wand and do that quickly.

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It takes years and years.

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But the central point seemed to me --

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And now we're not stopping, so that team is,

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you know, every year, 500, 600, 700, 800 new features and

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services, so they keep pushing on that.

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That team is just doing an amazing job.

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What's interesting to me is that

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you were doing it for yourself, these are things you were doing

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for yourself and you said, if we are you doing it for ourselves.

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This is true.

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So the founding idea behind Amazon Web Services is that our

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applications engineers and our networking and data center

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engineers were spending way too much time coordinating.

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And so the applications engineers are the ones who build

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the things that customers actually interact with,

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they drive the business forward, they drive revenues.

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Building data centers and building, you know, putting

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servers in the data centers and building fleets of servers and

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getting the right levels of capacity and making sure all the

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operating systems versions were correct and so on and so on.

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Databases on top of that, make sure the versions of those

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are correct, all the networking that goes with it.

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This stuff is unbelievably complicated and hard,

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every bit as hard as building the application layer.

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But it doesn't really add any value to the application layer.

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It's -- it's a kind of price of admission.

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It's one of those things that has to be done perfectly

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but it's not secret sauce.

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It's not going to change the way you run your business.

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And the -- and what we wanted to do was reduce those

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fine-grained conversations that the application engineers

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were having with the networking engineers.

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And so we said we should just create a set of APIs,

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application programming interfaces, harden those.

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And then the teams can discuss the road map next year,

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two years from now, three years from now.

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They can discuss in a course-grained way the road map

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of what APIs we should expose and then it will simplify those

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conversations and give a lot of stability and they won't need

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to do all these silly fine-grained

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coordination conversations.

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And so we started designing that.

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And the second we started writing it down, we realized

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wait a second, what we're building here, we need.

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Amazon.com, the retailer needs these things.

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But pretty soon everybody is going to need these things.

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And so with a little extra work, we can turn what we were going

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to build just for ourselves into a service for the world.

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And that's what we did.

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And it is now, you know, a very successful, large --

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The largest factor in the Cloud.

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By far.

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And CIA and a lot of other clients

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come to you.

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Yes.

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So you also have a large shipping contingent

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within your own operation.

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Yes, we do.

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And there are some --

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We do billions of packages a year and it takes

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a lot of logistics.

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So you are getting into

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the shipping business.

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We have an A plus team.

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So is it the same model?

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Are you doing something and you are doing it well, and we say,

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we could do this for other people, so we're going to get

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into the shipping business?

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Not quite.

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It's a little bit different.

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Here we're really being driven by capacity needs, especially if

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you look at the holiday selling season.

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The fact of the matter is that we need all of the capacity that

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we can get from the established transportation providers like

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U.S. Postal Service and UPS.

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We will take all the capacity that they can give us.

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And I am just talking about the U.S.

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The same story is playing right around the world,

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the Royal Mail and Deutsche Post and so on.

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And then in addition to that, we need more capacity,

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especially at peak.

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Just in order to continue to grow our business.

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So we have kind of been forced into developing expertise

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in the last mile.

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And of course we do use it for our third-party business so

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third-party sellers can now use the Marketplace business.

258
00:12:55.334 --> 00:12:58.601
We offer a service called "Fulfilled by Amazon" where

259
00:12:58.601 --> 00:13:01.467
third-party sellers can put their inventory

260
00:13:01.467 --> 00:13:03.200
in our fulfillment centers.

261
00:13:03.200 --> 00:13:05.601
And then we handle all of the fulfillment and returns and

262
00:13:05.601 --> 00:13:08.067
customer service and everything else for them.

263
00:13:08.067 --> 00:13:13.067
And so we are, you know, that logistics chain is going to work

264
00:13:13.067 --> 00:13:16.801
for us, and for third-party sellers.

265
00:13:16.801 --> 00:13:20.901
And it's really crucial that we continue to build that out.

266
00:13:20.901 --> 00:13:23.367
So FedEx and UPS need not worry.

267
00:13:23.367 --> 00:13:24.400
No, no.

268
00:13:24.400 --> 00:13:28.400
If you look at those guys are going to be able to continue to

269
00:13:28.400 --> 00:13:32.901
grow and we're going to continue to grow with them, and just,

270
00:13:32.901 --> 00:13:35.834
and still need additional capacity.

271
00:13:35.834 --> 00:13:37.634
The other thing is Amazon Prime, the second

272
00:13:37.634 --> 00:13:43.234
pillar, Amazon Prime, some what, 65 million members

273
00:13:43.234 --> 00:13:44.767
of Amazon Prime?

274
00:13:44.767 --> 00:13:46.067
We don't reveal that.

275
00:13:46.067 --> 00:13:47.000
So I don't want to nod.

276
00:13:47.000 --> 00:13:49.934
(LAUGHTER)

277
00:13:49.934 --> 00:13:52.067
Amazon is reasonably secretive.

278
00:13:52.067 --> 00:13:58.968
Well, we don't want to reveal things that

279
00:13:58.968 --> 00:14:01.100
will help competitors or alert them.

280
00:14:01.100 --> 00:14:04.334
And it's also just really hard to figure out which things

281
00:14:04.334 --> 00:14:05.534
would help them.

282
00:14:05.534 --> 00:14:09.334
You know, like we certainly got a bigger window, I was talking

283
00:14:09.334 --> 00:14:12.968
about our AWS business and how we got such a long runway.

284
00:14:12.968 --> 00:14:15.934
If we had been out there bragging about that business,

285
00:14:15.934 --> 00:14:20.934
we would have attracted attention from incumbents,

286
00:14:20.934 --> 00:14:23.968
much sooner than what actually happened.

287
00:14:23.968 --> 00:14:28.601
And so there is no reason in business usually to boast about

288
00:14:28.601 --> 00:14:30.300
your accomplishments.

289
00:14:30.300 --> 00:14:31.834
People will figure them out.

290
00:14:31.834 --> 00:14:36.167
Boasting about the number of Prime members won't make anybody

291
00:14:36.167 --> 00:14:39.701
more likely to join Prime, in my opinion.

292
00:14:39.701 --> 00:14:42.968
People already know that a lot of people are Prime members.

293
00:14:42.968 --> 00:14:44.534
Their friends are already Prime members.

294
00:14:44.534 --> 00:14:48.300
So it's true that -- that in consumer businesses and

295
00:14:48.300 --> 00:14:51.868
in enterprise businesses that people, to some degree, like to

296
00:14:51.868 --> 00:14:54.667
be with the leader and like to be in the crowd.

297
00:14:54.667 --> 00:14:59.400
And so you do want people to know that you are a leader.

298
00:14:59.400 --> 00:15:02.934
You do want people to know that the offerings are successful

299
00:15:02.934 --> 00:15:04.634
and that lots of people are using them.

300
00:15:04.634 --> 00:15:06.667
But you don't have to quantity that for consumers

301
00:15:06.667 --> 00:15:07.701
or enterprises.

302
00:15:07.701 --> 00:15:09.300
Let's assume it is a large number.

303
00:15:09.300 --> 00:15:10.100
It's a large number.

304
00:15:10.100 --> 00:15:13.501
(LAUGHTER)

305
00:15:13.501 --> 00:15:17.701
Why is it so crucial for your future Prime?

306
00:15:17.701 --> 00:15:24.133
Well, Prime is, what we want Prime to be and

307
00:15:24.133 --> 00:15:26.667
what we have developed it into over time is,

308
00:15:26.667 --> 00:15:28.667
it's the best of Amazon.

309
00:15:28.667 --> 00:15:33.300
So you can get, basically if you join Prime, we want to have

310
00:15:33.300 --> 00:15:40.133
our core service be outstanding, and anybody who wants to use

311
00:15:40.133 --> 00:15:44.167
Amazon and not be a Prime member should have a great experience.

312
00:15:44.167 --> 00:15:49.367
And people who are not Prime members, for example,

313
00:15:49.367 --> 00:15:50.801
can still get free shipping.

314
00:15:50.801 --> 00:15:53.767
They have to buy a certain number of products or certain

315
00:15:53.767 --> 00:15:58.601
thing to get above a certain product kind of order

316
00:15:58.601 --> 00:16:01.200
basket hurdle, I think it's $49.

317
00:16:01.200 --> 00:16:03.467
And if they get above that $49 hurdle,

318
00:16:03.467 --> 00:16:06.334
then they can get free shipping.

319
00:16:06.334 --> 00:16:11.033
And so what we did with Prime is say look, you know, you can

320
00:16:11.033 --> 00:16:13.167
get free shipping without joining Prime, but if you want

321
00:16:13.167 --> 00:16:16.601
fast free shipping, our best service,

322
00:16:16.601 --> 00:16:18.067
then you need to join Prime.

323
00:16:18.067 --> 00:16:19.200
It's $99 a year.

324
00:16:19.200 --> 00:16:20.467
It's $99 a year.

325
00:16:20.467 --> 00:16:23.601
And then we started adding other benefits to it that we know

326
00:16:23.601 --> 00:16:24.634
that people like.

327
00:16:24.634 --> 00:16:28.267
So we started out -- we added Prime Video which has been

328
00:16:28.267 --> 00:16:30.667
a very successful new benefit for Prime.

329
00:16:30.667 --> 00:16:32.234
We started many years ago.

330
00:16:32.234 --> 00:16:35.400
We added just 10 or 20,000 shows.

331
00:16:35.400 --> 00:16:38.100
And they were all licensed and they were all reruns.

332
00:16:38.100 --> 00:16:39.868
Things like Gilligan's island.

333
00:16:39.868 --> 00:16:43.200
And it was kind of a by the way offering.

334
00:16:43.200 --> 00:16:45.334
So, you know, we said, look, you already are a Prime member,

335
00:16:45.334 --> 00:16:47.601
here is a new benefit.

336
00:16:47.601 --> 00:16:50.701
We know it's not the most important T.V. shows

337
00:16:50.701 --> 00:16:54.701
in the world, but it also isn't costing you anything extra.

338
00:16:54.701 --> 00:16:56.634
So it grew.

339
00:16:56.634 --> 00:17:00.834
Now we're doing, you know, Emmy award-winning and Golden Globe

340
00:17:00.834 --> 00:17:04.834
award-winning original content that again, you get access to

341
00:17:04.834 --> 00:17:09.200
just at no additional charge, just being a Prime member.

342
00:17:09.200 --> 00:17:10.801
So getting into the creative part of the

343
00:17:10.801 --> 00:17:13.767
entertainment business, what was the motivation for that?

344
00:17:13.767 --> 00:17:15.367
Well, from a business point of view,

345
00:17:15.367 --> 00:17:17.100
there are two different ways to think about that.

346
00:17:17.100 --> 00:17:19.601
We always start with the customer-centric point of view.

347
00:17:19.601 --> 00:17:23.467
And then so how can we, if we're going to make original content

348
00:17:23.467 --> 00:17:27.200
which Amazon Studios is doing, how can it be better or

349
00:17:27.200 --> 00:17:31.834
different from the -- so much content that is out there that

350
00:17:31.834 --> 00:17:34.934
you could license already and not have to make yourself.

351
00:17:34.934 --> 00:17:38.334
And the fact of the matter is that the over the top streaming

352
00:17:38.334 --> 00:17:43.767
services with a subscription model can have -- can in fact

353
00:17:43.767 --> 00:17:45.934
make different kinds of content, so a show like

354
00:17:45.934 --> 00:17:51.801
"Transparent" which has won Golden Globes and Emmys is not

355
00:17:51.801 --> 00:17:55.534
ever -- it is not a show that could be successfully done

356
00:17:55.534 --> 00:17:59.367
on broadcast T.V. because broadcast T.V. needs

357
00:17:59.367 --> 00:18:01.934
a much bigger audience for that.

358
00:18:01.934 --> 00:18:05.501
"Transparent" -- we want to make shows that are

359
00:18:05.501 --> 00:18:07.868
somebody's favorite show.

360
00:18:07.868 --> 00:18:13.133
And on broadcast T.V., you can be very happy if you have

361
00:18:13.133 --> 00:18:16.667
a big show that is, you know, 20 million people's

362
00:18:16.667 --> 00:18:18.133
third favorite show.

363
00:18:18.133 --> 00:18:21.400
And so you can actually think about the creative process

364
00:18:21.400 --> 00:18:22.367
a little differently.

365
00:18:22.367 --> 00:18:24.100
You can attract different storytellers.

366
00:18:24.100 --> 00:18:27.334
You can go for stories that are narrower but incredibly

367
00:18:27.334 --> 00:18:29.667
powerful and well told.

368
00:18:29.667 --> 00:18:31.367
"Mozart in the Jungle" is the same way.

369
00:18:31.367 --> 00:18:33.634
I don't see how "Mozart in the Jungle" another one that has

370
00:18:33.634 --> 00:18:38.033
won Golden Globes and Emmys, I don't see how it could be

371
00:18:38.033 --> 00:18:40.434
successful on broadcast T.V. either.

372
00:18:40.434 --> 00:18:45.200
So you get -- we can attract a storyteller who wants to tell

373
00:18:45.200 --> 00:18:46.501
a certain kind of story.

374
00:18:46.501 --> 00:18:49.000
Then there are other things that are just tailwinds in this

375
00:18:49.000 --> 00:18:52.868
business, that are happening because of HBO and Netflix

376
00:18:52.868 --> 00:18:55.801
and others that, you know, ten years ago,

377
00:18:55.801 --> 00:18:59.501
you couldn't get A List Talent to do T.V.

378
00:18:59.501 --> 00:19:02.100
They perceived it as stigmatizing.

379
00:19:02.100 --> 00:19:04.934
And today that is just completely not.

380
00:19:04.934 --> 00:19:09.601
Today, A List Talent wants to do serialized T.V.

381
00:19:09.601 --> 00:19:12.901
Because the quality of the storytelling is so high,

382
00:19:12.901 --> 00:19:14.634
that it's just completely flipped on its head.

383
00:19:14.634 --> 00:19:16.267
Does it benefit your traditional

384
00:19:16.267 --> 00:19:18.033
e-commerce businesses?

385
00:19:18.033 --> 00:19:19.968
The fact that you have a presence in entertainment

386
00:19:19.968 --> 00:19:21.667
and the fact that you went --

387
00:19:21.667 --> 00:19:22.834
Totally.

388
00:19:22.834 --> 00:19:25.133
You sell things because you win awards

389
00:19:25.133 --> 00:19:25.968
in Hollywood.

390
00:19:25.968 --> 00:19:29.701
There is the customer experience part of --

391
00:19:29.701 --> 00:19:33.234
you know, we want storytellers with guts and taste to do things

392
00:19:33.234 --> 00:19:35.367
that are somebody's favorite show.

393
00:19:35.367 --> 00:19:38.834
And then let's talk about the business side of that.

394
00:19:38.834 --> 00:19:41.234
Why these shows are expensive?

395
00:19:41.234 --> 00:19:46.100
Man in the High Castle, which is our most watched and one of our

396
00:19:46.100 --> 00:19:48.434
highest rated shows, and you should watch it if you haven't

397
00:19:48.434 --> 00:19:52.734
seen it, Hitler won World War II, it's an alternative history,

398
00:19:52.734 --> 00:19:57.834
and it's 1962, and the Nazis control the east coast

399
00:19:57.834 --> 00:19:59.601
and the Japanese control the west coast.

400
00:19:59.601 --> 00:20:02.734
It's creepy.

401
00:20:02.734 --> 00:20:07.234
And but that show is super expensive to make.

402
00:20:07.234 --> 00:20:09.767
And so how do you pay for that content?

403
00:20:09.767 --> 00:20:10.767
That's the business side of this.

404
00:20:10.767 --> 00:20:11.634
Right.

405
00:20:11.634 --> 00:20:15.968
The business side is very unique to Amazon.

406
00:20:15.968 --> 00:20:20.400
I don't think there's another model out there like it.

407
00:20:20.400 --> 00:20:22.667
And that is when you become a Prime member,

408
00:20:22.667 --> 00:20:25.334
you buy more from us.

409
00:20:25.334 --> 00:20:29.267
You say to yourself, well, what else -- now that I have paid

410
00:20:29.267 --> 00:20:32.167
my $99 a year, how else can I use this membership?

411
00:20:32.167 --> 00:20:36.200
And so when people join Prime, they buy more shoes, they buy

412
00:20:36.200 --> 00:20:40.200
more diapers, they buy more dishwashing detergent, they buy

413
00:20:40.200 --> 00:20:43.267
more books and electronics and toys and so on and so on.

414
00:20:43.267 --> 00:20:47.467
And so we really want people to join Prime.

415
00:20:47.467 --> 00:20:53.267
And we really want people to renew their Prime membership.

416
00:20:53.267 --> 00:21:00.667
And so when we make, when we win a Golden Globe, for us, what we

417
00:21:00.667 --> 00:21:04.434
are tying that to, and we can see -- we can see this in the

418
00:21:04.434 --> 00:21:10.300
metrics, that people who use Prime Video are more likely to

419
00:21:10.300 --> 00:21:13.767
convert from free trial lists to paid Prime members and are

420
00:21:13.767 --> 00:21:17.267
more likely to convert from paid Prime members, their next

421
00:21:17.267 --> 00:21:21.000
time, not convert but to renew for a subsequent year.

422
00:21:21.000 --> 00:21:25.067
And so that's what closes the loop on the business side.

423
00:21:25.067 --> 00:21:28.367
You don't do things for business reasons.

424
00:21:28.367 --> 00:21:30.934
You need to do things for the customer experience reasons.

425
00:21:30.934 --> 00:21:33.868
But you need to know how you are going to pay

426
00:21:33.868 --> 00:21:35.100
for that customer experience.

427
00:21:35.100 --> 00:21:37.601
You need to close the loop on the business side too.

428
00:21:37.601 --> 00:21:40.601
So I have listed three pillars.

429
00:21:40.601 --> 00:21:42.934
What might be the fourth pillar?

430
00:21:42.934 --> 00:21:44.968
Well, it could be, we don't know yet

431
00:21:44.968 --> 00:21:45.968
is the real answer.

432
00:21:45.968 --> 00:21:47.968
And I think it's very hard to --

433
00:21:47.968 --> 00:21:49.400
we do a lot of different things.

434
00:21:49.400 --> 00:21:52.534
And these things, the fourth one will rise

435
00:21:52.534 --> 00:21:54.434
and distinguish itself.

436
00:21:54.434 --> 00:21:56.234
We'll put energy into many things.

437
00:21:56.234 --> 00:22:01.267
I'm optimistic about things like Amazon Studios, so the original

438
00:22:01.267 --> 00:22:03.400
content, I think that actually could become a fourth pillar

439
00:22:03.400 --> 00:22:04.501
on its own.

440
00:22:04.501 --> 00:22:08.400
And I think that what we are doing with natural language

441
00:22:08.400 --> 00:22:11.400
understanding and Echo and Alexa

442
00:22:11.400 --> 00:22:12.601
could become a fourth pillar.

443
00:22:12.601 --> 00:22:14.234
Everybody talks about artificial intelligence,

444
00:22:14.234 --> 00:22:16.267
everybody, and everybody is investing.

445
00:22:16.267 --> 00:22:18.167
And by the way, rightly so,

446
00:22:18.167 --> 00:22:21.968
this is the real thing.

447
00:22:21.968 --> 00:22:25.000
Enlarge on that and also on the idea of what

448
00:22:25.000 --> 00:22:28.634
Echo is and how it may very well be the beginning

449
00:22:28.634 --> 00:22:33.000
on the edge, the wedge into artificial intelligence,

450
00:22:33.000 --> 00:22:34.200
that benefits everybody.

451
00:22:34.200 --> 00:22:38.501
Well, Echo is a small black cylinder that is --

452
00:22:38.501 --> 00:22:43.000
it has seven microphones on the top and has a speaker inside and

453
00:22:43.000 --> 00:22:47.000
a digital signal processor and some other computer inside.

454
00:22:47.000 --> 00:22:51.367
It's WiFi-connected to the Cloud.

455
00:22:51.367 --> 00:22:56.300
And Alexa, the agent -- the artificially intelligent agent

456
00:22:56.300 --> 00:23:00.167
that lives in the Cloud will talk to you through Alexa --

457
00:23:00.167 --> 00:23:01.000
through Echo.

458
00:23:01.000 --> 00:23:03.467
And one of the interesting things about Echo, the device,

459
00:23:03.467 --> 00:23:06.267
is it uses those seven microphones to do something

460
00:23:06.267 --> 00:23:07.634
called beam forming.

461
00:23:07.634 --> 00:23:11.868
And so basically it can hear you very well even in a very

462
00:23:11.868 --> 00:23:13.467
loud kitchen environment.

463
00:23:13.467 --> 00:23:15.601
For example, you have the dishwasher running and you have

464
00:23:15.601 --> 00:23:18.701
the sink running water and maybe somebody is playing

465
00:23:18.701 --> 00:23:20.834
the television set in the living room.

466
00:23:20.834 --> 00:23:24.133
And Alexa can still hear you because of that digital

467
00:23:24.133 --> 00:23:25.133
signal processing.

468
00:23:25.133 --> 00:23:28.834
And so you can say, Alexa, what time is it?

469
00:23:28.834 --> 00:23:30.267
Alexa, what is the weather today?

470
00:23:30.267 --> 00:23:35.701
Alexa, and in natural language, Alexa, play a certain song,

471
00:23:35.701 --> 00:23:37.701
et cetera, et cetera.

472
00:23:37.701 --> 00:23:42.634
And people really -- it's just been a big hit.

473
00:23:42.634 --> 00:23:44.400
We launched it a few years ago.

474
00:23:44.400 --> 00:23:48.968
It has vastly exceeded our expectations in terms of volume.

475
00:23:48.968 --> 00:23:52.367
We have literally thousands of people dedicated

476
00:23:52.367 --> 00:23:53.400
to working on it.

477
00:23:53.400 --> 00:23:55.133
And Google wants to be in that business

478
00:23:55.133 --> 00:23:56.601
and everybody else wants to be in that business.

479
00:23:56.601 --> 00:23:58.601
Everybody will want to be in that business.

480
00:23:58.601 --> 00:24:02.033
And so here you know we got the kind of standard, you know,

481
00:24:02.033 --> 00:24:05.701
two, two and a half year head start.

482
00:24:05.701 --> 00:24:06.834
Let me talk about "The Washington Post."

483
00:24:06.834 --> 00:24:08.033
Yeah.

484
00:24:08.033 --> 00:24:09.000
You bought "The Washington Post"

485
00:24:09.000 --> 00:24:10.601
without doing any due diligence.

486
00:24:10.601 --> 00:24:12.601
You were so impressed with --

487
00:24:12.601 --> 00:24:14.467
Well, I did no due diligence because

488
00:24:14.467 --> 00:24:18.601
I knew Don Graham for 15 years.

489
00:24:18.601 --> 00:24:20.601
Did he come to you because he needed a --

490
00:24:20.601 --> 00:24:23.601
If any of you know Don Graham, he is possibly

491
00:24:23.601 --> 00:24:25.534
the most honorable person in the world.

492
00:24:25.534 --> 00:24:28.434
So he just laid out all the warts for me.

493
00:24:28.434 --> 00:24:31.601
He laid out all of the great things about "The Post" for me.

494
00:24:31.601 --> 00:24:35.234
And no amount of due diligence could ever have gotten

495
00:24:35.234 --> 00:24:38.934
to more clarity than just talking to Don

496
00:24:38.934 --> 00:24:39.968
for several hours.

497
00:24:39.968 --> 00:24:41.534
Why did you buy it?

498
00:24:41.534 --> 00:24:43.267
I bought it because it's important.

499
00:24:43.267 --> 00:24:45.901
So I would never buy a financially upside down

500
00:24:45.901 --> 00:24:47.868
salty snack food company.

501
00:24:47.868 --> 00:24:51.601
You know, that doesn't make any sense to me.

502
00:24:51.601 --> 00:24:53.434
But "The Washington Post" is important.

503
00:24:53.434 --> 00:24:56.801
And so it makes sense to me to take something like that,

504
00:24:56.801 --> 00:24:59.234
and I also am optimistic.

505
00:24:59.234 --> 00:25:03.467
And I thought there were some ways to make it -- I want it

506
00:25:03.467 --> 00:25:05.701
to be a self-sustaining, profitable enterprise.

507
00:25:05.701 --> 00:25:08.300
I think that would be healthy for "The Post."

508
00:25:08.300 --> 00:25:09.601
And I think it can be done.

509
00:25:09.601 --> 00:25:13.367
And our approach is actually very, very simple.

510
00:25:13.367 --> 00:25:16.968
We need to go -- it's hard to execute on and it will take time

511
00:25:16.968 --> 00:25:17.934
but the approach is simple.

512
00:25:17.934 --> 00:25:23.100
We need to go from making a relatively large amount of money

513
00:25:23.100 --> 00:25:26.634
per reader on a relatively small number of readers.

514
00:25:26.634 --> 00:25:30.601
That is the historic model of "The Post", to a model where

515
00:25:30.601 --> 00:25:33.834
we make a relatively small amount of money per reader

516
00:25:33.834 --> 00:25:36.067
on a very large number of readers.

517
00:25:36.067 --> 00:25:37.133
That is the new model.

518
00:25:37.133 --> 00:25:39.434
But that's your business model too, isn't it?

519
00:25:39.434 --> 00:25:41.100
That is the better business model

520
00:25:41.100 --> 00:25:42.701
for the internet era.

521
00:25:42.701 --> 00:25:46.868
And the Post is unusual and this is one of the things from

522
00:25:46.868 --> 00:25:49.701
a business point of view why I'm so optimistic about "The Post,"

523
00:25:49.701 --> 00:25:54.767
is that it can go from being -- it has historically

524
00:25:54.767 --> 00:25:56.234
been a local paper.

525
00:25:56.234 --> 00:25:57.801
A very good local paper.

526
00:25:57.801 --> 00:26:01.501
But it happens to be a local paper situated in the capital

527
00:26:01.501 --> 00:26:03.834
city of the United States of America.

528
00:26:03.834 --> 00:26:08.701
And so it has -- it's kind of geographic location is superb

529
00:26:08.701 --> 00:26:11.667
for converting it from being a local paper to a national

530
00:26:11.667 --> 00:26:14.467
and even a global publication.

531
00:26:14.467 --> 00:26:16.834
And so that, and that's a gift that the internet brings.

532
00:26:16.834 --> 00:26:19.968
To do national and global publication in the days of

533
00:26:19.968 --> 00:26:22.534
print, super expensive.

534
00:26:22.534 --> 00:26:24.501
You have to figure out how to have printing presses everywhere

535
00:26:24.501 --> 00:26:27.534
and distribution everywhere, physical distribution,

536
00:26:27.534 --> 00:26:28.601
very challenging.

537
00:26:28.601 --> 00:26:30.767
Today, that piece is easy.

538
00:26:30.767 --> 00:26:33.934
To get global distribution in digital form

539
00:26:33.934 --> 00:26:35.000
is extraordinarily simple.

540
00:26:35.000 --> 00:26:37.367
Because it is an important newspaper in

541
00:26:37.367 --> 00:26:39.834
the nation's capital and most powerful country in the world,

542
00:26:39.834 --> 00:26:42.167
did you want it also because it would give you

543
00:26:42.167 --> 00:26:43.701
political influence?

544
00:26:43.701 --> 00:26:44.901
No.

545
00:26:44.901 --> 00:26:50.434
And I think one of the reasons that Don Graham liked me

546
00:26:50.434 --> 00:26:52.968
as an owner is because he didn't think

547
00:26:52.968 --> 00:26:54.033
I would politicize it.

548
00:26:54.033 --> 00:26:54.901
Yeah.

549
00:26:54.901 --> 00:26:57.767
And so, you know, I think because it is in the

550
00:26:57.767 --> 00:27:02.067
capital city of the United States of America, it should not

551
00:27:02.067 --> 00:27:10.033
be, you know, you take the British model of newspapers and,

552
00:27:10.033 --> 00:27:15.701
you know, the kind of left wing paper or right wing paper.

553
00:27:15.701 --> 00:27:19.133
And there are certain people who if they had bought

554
00:27:19.133 --> 00:27:20.734
"The Washington Post" would have converted it

555
00:27:20.734 --> 00:27:22.834
in one of those directions.

556
00:27:22.834 --> 00:27:25.467
And I don't think that would be healthy for "The Post"

557
00:27:25.467 --> 00:27:29.133
or healthy for the country and plus in that respect,

558
00:27:29.133 --> 00:27:32.234
I'm also a good owner because I'm so damn busy.

559
00:27:32.234 --> 00:27:33.634
Honestly.

560
00:27:33.634 --> 00:27:34.734
You're not hanging out in the newsroom.

561
00:27:34.734 --> 00:27:37.367
I have no desire to meddle.

562
00:27:37.367 --> 00:27:40.100
I have no desire to opine on everything.

563
00:27:40.100 --> 00:27:42.934
I can't -- I don't have the time to be in newsroom every day

564
00:27:42.934 --> 00:27:47.267
or even for the editorial pages.

565
00:27:47.267 --> 00:27:53.601
And, by the way, it's a very difficult business that needs

566
00:27:53.601 --> 00:27:55.067
to be done by professionals.

567
00:27:55.067 --> 00:28:00.667
I sometimes get asked, you know, do you opine in

568
00:28:00.667 --> 00:28:03.467
the newsroom or get involved in newsroom activities.

569
00:28:03.467 --> 00:28:06.868
I'm like, if you know -- if you know as I do now a little bit

570
00:28:06.868 --> 00:28:10.667
about newsrooms, you will see, it would be exactly the

571
00:28:10.667 --> 00:28:15.367
equivalent of me walking into a surgical theater while my son

572
00:28:15.367 --> 00:28:18.667
was having brain surgery and meddling with the brain surgeon.

573
00:28:18.667 --> 00:28:19.267
It doesn't make sense.

574
00:28:19.267 --> 00:28:22.067
These are super complex -- being the executive editor of

575
00:28:22.067 --> 00:28:24.033
"The Post", we have Marty Baron who, in my opinion,

576
00:28:24.033 --> 00:28:29.067
is the best executive editor in the world.

577
00:28:29.067 --> 00:28:31.868
He and his team, they are doing an unbelievably good job.

578
00:28:31.868 --> 00:28:34.300
And again, back to, you know, I have been talking about

579
00:28:34.300 --> 00:28:37.000
the business model of "The Post" we had to transition into this

580
00:28:37.000 --> 00:28:40.100
new way of having a small amount of money with lot of --

581
00:28:40.100 --> 00:28:41.901
per reader, with lots of readers.

582
00:28:41.901 --> 00:28:44.868
The real reason this could work is because "The Post"

583
00:28:44.868 --> 00:28:48.801
is creating riveting coverage, and they're doing it.

584
00:28:48.801 --> 00:28:54.667
They are -- you can't, you know, turn around a restaurant

585
00:28:54.667 --> 00:28:57.868
with business techniques if the food isn't delicious.

586
00:28:57.868 --> 00:29:02.501
And we have delicious content, you know, "The Post" is just

587
00:29:02.501 --> 00:29:04.934
riveting, they are killing it.

588
00:29:04.934 --> 00:29:07.200
I am so proud of that team.

589
00:29:07.200 --> 00:29:10.634
People in my profession are great admirers of

590
00:29:10.634 --> 00:29:12.267
what "The Washington Post" is today

591
00:29:12.267 --> 00:29:13.701
under Marty Baron's leadership.

592
00:29:13.701 --> 00:29:14.267
Totally.

593
00:29:14.267 --> 00:29:15.701
Especially in foreign coverage.

594
00:29:15.701 --> 00:29:16.267
Yes.

595
00:29:16.267 --> 00:29:17.968
And by the way, Marty would be the first one to tell you this,

596
00:29:17.968 --> 00:29:21.734
it is his team, I mean, he put those people in place and he has

597
00:29:21.734 --> 00:29:27.834
given them lots of kind of energy and they're proud of

598
00:29:27.834 --> 00:29:29.834
the product they're creating.

599
00:29:29.834 --> 00:29:34.534
"The Post" also has a culture that -- I also have no desire

600
00:29:34.534 --> 00:29:36.000
to change the culture of "The Post",

601
00:29:36.000 --> 00:29:37.434
that would be so counterproductive.

602
00:29:37.434 --> 00:29:40.200
They already have a great culture and it comes all the way

603
00:29:40.200 --> 00:29:41.734
-- you know it is decades old.

604
00:29:41.734 --> 00:29:43.801
And what you want to do with something like "The Post" that

605
00:29:43.801 --> 00:29:47.000
has a very healthy decades-old culture is instead of trying to

606
00:29:47.000 --> 00:29:51.234
change it, you want to kind of uncover it and reveal it

607
00:29:51.234 --> 00:29:52.467
and burnish it.

608
00:29:52.467 --> 00:29:56.300
And the more I've gotten to know about "The Post", I realize

609
00:29:56.300 --> 00:29:58.601
the distinguishing feature of "The Post" compared to

610
00:29:58.601 --> 00:30:01.467
some other very high quality newspapers is

611
00:30:01.467 --> 00:30:03.334
"The Post" has more swagger.

612
00:30:03.334 --> 00:30:06.868
They are, they are swashbuckling, but they are

613
00:30:06.868 --> 00:30:10.234
professional swashbucklers which is very important because

614
00:30:10.234 --> 00:30:14.167
non-professional swashbuckling just gets you killed.

615
00:30:14.167 --> 00:30:18.901
You know, you can't do that, and they are just incredible.

616
00:30:18.901 --> 00:30:19.834
Blue Origin.

617
00:30:19.834 --> 00:30:24.000
You and I sat last night with a former astronaut.

618
00:30:24.000 --> 00:30:26.000
That was very fun, Scott Kelly.

619
00:30:26.000 --> 00:30:28.634
Scott Kelly who was there at the International

620
00:30:28.634 --> 00:30:32.934
Space Station for, I don't know how many days.

621
00:30:32.934 --> 00:30:35.534
What is it that you hope to accomplish?

622
00:30:35.534 --> 00:30:36.067
In space.

623
00:30:36.067 --> 00:30:37.167
In space.

624
00:30:37.167 --> 00:30:40.834
Well, this is, first of all, let's back up.

625
00:30:40.834 --> 00:30:42.033
This is a childhood dream.

626
00:30:42.033 --> 00:30:47.901
I fell in love with the idea of space and space exploration

627
00:30:47.901 --> 00:30:50.067
and space travel when I was five years old.

628
00:30:50.067 --> 00:30:52.634
I watched Neil Armstrong step onto the moon.

629
00:30:52.634 --> 00:30:55.834
You don't choose your passions, your passions choose you.

630
00:30:55.834 --> 00:31:01.300
I -- so I am infected with this idea.

631
00:31:01.300 --> 00:31:04.100
I couldn't ever stop thinking about space.

632
00:31:04.100 --> 00:31:07.100
I have been thinking about it ever since then.

633
00:31:07.100 --> 00:31:11.834
And I just -- so again, you know, I did not, when I started

634
00:31:11.834 --> 00:31:17.868
Blue Origin, which is the name of this space company, I did not

635
00:31:17.868 --> 00:31:20.868
make a list of all the businesses in the world where I

636
00:31:20.868 --> 00:31:24.400
thought I might get the highest return on invested capital.

637
00:31:24.400 --> 00:31:29.801
And it was driven by passion and curiosity and the need to

638
00:31:29.801 --> 00:31:32.400
explore the things that I care about.

639
00:31:32.400 --> 00:31:37.067
And so we have, over time, built a brilliant team, there are now

640
00:31:37.067 --> 00:31:41.868
over 800 people at Blue Origin, we have a suborbital tourism

641
00:31:41.868 --> 00:31:46.734
vehicle called "New Shepherd" that flies like a regular rocket

642
00:31:46.734 --> 00:31:48.901
when it launches and then lands on its tail like

643
00:31:48.901 --> 00:31:50.634
a Buck Rogers rocket.

644
00:31:50.634 --> 00:31:52.534
We have used the same vehicle, it is reusable.

645
00:31:52.534 --> 00:31:56.234
We used the same vehicle five times --

646
00:31:56.234 --> 00:31:57.167
And that's key to the business

647
00:31:57.167 --> 00:31:58.100
of going into space.

648
00:31:58.100 --> 00:31:59.901
That's the absolute key.

649
00:31:59.901 --> 00:32:03.601
If you look -- if you ask the question, why is space travel

650
00:32:03.601 --> 00:32:05.067
so expensive?

651
00:32:05.067 --> 00:32:08.667
There is one reason, and it's because we throw the hardware

652
00:32:08.667 --> 00:32:10.634
away every time after using it.

653
00:32:10.634 --> 00:32:11.934
It is all expendable.

654
00:32:11.934 --> 00:32:15.033
And even in the past when we have done things that were sort

655
00:32:15.033 --> 00:32:18.334
of semi-reusable, they weren't really what I would call

656
00:32:18.334 --> 00:32:21.767
operable reusability because they were disassembled,

657
00:32:21.767 --> 00:32:24.133
inspected and then put back together.

658
00:32:24.133 --> 00:32:27.834
So you can imagine how expensive air travel would be if, after

659
00:32:27.834 --> 00:32:32.133
your Hawaii vacation, you get to Hawaii and -- well, if they

660
00:32:32.133 --> 00:32:36.000
throw the 747 away, it is going to be really expensive but it is

661
00:32:36.000 --> 00:32:38.834
also going to be super expensive if, after you get to Hawaii,

662
00:32:38.834 --> 00:32:42.634
they disassemble the whole thing, inspect every part and

663
00:32:42.634 --> 00:32:44.901
put it all back together before you're allowed to fly again.

664
00:32:44.901 --> 00:32:47.234
That was the problem with the space shuttle.

665
00:32:47.234 --> 00:32:52.400
And so, it is really important that you design the vehicle

666
00:32:52.400 --> 00:32:55.701
from the beginning for highly operable reusability.

667
00:32:55.701 --> 00:32:58.367
The propellants are incredibly low cost.

668
00:32:58.367 --> 00:33:02.501
People don't know this about rockets, but a big rocket,

669
00:33:02.501 --> 00:33:05.534
let's say, has a million pounds of propellant on board,

670
00:33:05.534 --> 00:33:07.734
two-thirds of that may be liquid oxygen,

671
00:33:07.734 --> 00:33:12.167
say 600,000 pounds or so of liquid oxygen.

672
00:33:12.167 --> 00:33:13.868
Do you know how much liquid oxygen costs?

673
00:33:13.868 --> 00:33:15.667
Ten cents a pound.

674
00:33:15.667 --> 00:33:18.901
So, that is $60,000 worth of liquid oxygen, and then

675
00:33:18.901 --> 00:33:20.334
add the fuel costs in.

676
00:33:20.334 --> 00:33:23.467
You are still talking about a few hundred thousand dollars

677
00:33:23.467 --> 00:33:25.501
in propellant costs.

678
00:33:25.501 --> 00:33:29.300
And the launch, you know, costs on the order of $60 million,

679
00:33:29.300 --> 00:33:32.601
$70 million, $80 million, $100 million, $150 million.

680
00:33:32.601 --> 00:33:36.734
So how do you get from a $100 million -- $100 million to

681
00:33:36.734 --> 00:33:40.334
$300,000 of propellants -- it's simple, you are throwing

682
00:33:40.334 --> 00:33:41.868
the hardware away.

683
00:33:41.868 --> 00:33:45.801
And so it's really not -- the engineering challenge involved

684
00:33:45.801 --> 00:33:49.501
in building a highly operable reusable vehicle is gigantic.

685
00:33:49.501 --> 00:33:52.334
But if you can do that, it is a game changer.

686
00:33:52.334 --> 00:33:53.400
You change everything.

687
00:33:53.400 --> 00:33:56.100
And now why -- to your original question.

688
00:33:56.100 --> 00:33:58.834
That is sort of the background.

689
00:33:58.834 --> 00:34:02.467
I believe it's incredibly important that we humans go out

690
00:34:02.467 --> 00:34:06.968
into space and the primary reason, if you think long-term

691
00:34:06.968 --> 00:34:10.334
about this, is we need to do that to preserve the earth.

692
00:34:10.334 --> 00:34:13.467
So I am not -- I'm not one of the Plan B guys.

693
00:34:13.467 --> 00:34:16.701
There is a conventional -- there is a kind of conventional

694
00:34:16.701 --> 00:34:21.534
wisdom that is quite common that one of the reasons we need to

695
00:34:21.534 --> 00:34:25.868
go into space and settle another planet is as a kind of backup

696
00:34:25.868 --> 00:34:28.834
for humanity, you know, if earth gets destroyed,

697
00:34:28.834 --> 00:34:32.267
at least we have this other place.

698
00:34:32.267 --> 00:34:38.133
And I don't like that -- that's not motivating for me.

699
00:34:38.133 --> 00:34:44.601
But what -- because I'll tell you what we know for sure.

700
00:34:44.601 --> 00:34:48.601
We have now sent robotic probes to every planet

701
00:34:48.601 --> 00:34:50.133
in this solar system.

702
00:34:50.133 --> 00:34:53.300
We have taken close looks at them all, and believe me,

703
00:34:53.300 --> 00:34:55.033
this is the best planet.

704
00:34:55.033 --> 00:34:58.033
(LAUGHTER)

705
00:34:58.033 --> 00:35:01.901
It is not even close.

706
00:35:01.901 --> 00:35:05.767
So, what you need to do, and if you look at -- if you want a

707
00:35:05.767 --> 00:35:09.167
thriving, growing civilization, you want population growth to

708
00:35:09.167 --> 00:35:12.634
continue, you want a whole bunch of things to continue.

709
00:35:12.634 --> 00:35:16.400
And I believe that in the next few hundred years, what will

710
00:35:16.400 --> 00:35:19.767
happen is we will move all heavy industry into space

711
00:35:19.767 --> 00:35:22.667
for a whole bunch of practical reasons, easier access to

712
00:35:22.667 --> 00:35:26.534
resources of all kinds, material resources as well as energy.

713
00:35:26.534 --> 00:35:29.434
If you think about solar energy on Earth, it is inherently

714
00:35:29.434 --> 00:35:33.000
problematic because it only is available half the time.

715
00:35:33.000 --> 00:35:36.067
In space, solar energy is available 24/7.

716
00:35:36.067 --> 00:35:40.534
But the list of practical reasons why that --

717
00:35:40.534 --> 00:35:41.300
But you also have to build an

718
00:35:41.300 --> 00:35:42.634
infrastructure up there.

719
00:35:42.634 --> 00:35:45.100
Yeah, and that's why you need really low cost.

720
00:35:45.100 --> 00:35:48.734
You need to shrink the cost of lifting mass into space

721
00:35:48.734 --> 00:35:51.467
from Earth by two orders of magnitude.

722
00:35:51.467 --> 00:35:55.300
You need to reduce that cost by a hundred times and then

723
00:35:55.300 --> 00:35:56.400
you can do these things.

724
00:35:56.400 --> 00:36:01.067
And then Blue Origin is not going to do this

725
00:36:01.067 --> 00:36:02.100
all by ourselves.

726
00:36:02.100 --> 00:36:05.501
What I want to do with Blue Origin is build heavy-lifting

727
00:36:05.501 --> 00:36:09.601
infrastructure that lowers the cost of access to space

728
00:36:09.601 --> 00:36:13.234
so that the next generation of entrepreneurs can have

729
00:36:13.234 --> 00:36:15.934
a dynamic entrepreneurial explosion in space.

730
00:36:15.934 --> 00:36:19.167
That is how we will move all heavy industry into space

731
00:36:19.167 --> 00:36:22.601
and then ultimately Earth can be effectively zoned,

732
00:36:22.601 --> 00:36:25.868
residential and light industrial.

733
00:36:25.868 --> 00:36:28.634
Finally, and unlike the internet there was

734
00:36:28.634 --> 00:36:31.234
infrastructure there, so when you jumped into the internet

735
00:36:31.234 --> 00:36:32.634
there was always infrastructure there.

736
00:36:32.634 --> 00:36:34.934
This is the key point, when entrepreneurs --

737
00:36:34.934 --> 00:36:39.133
so Amazon was a tiny, little company that started with four

738
00:36:39.133 --> 00:36:43.367
people, and that -- we could only do, we built Amazon because

739
00:36:43.367 --> 00:36:45.901
we didn't have to do any of the heavy lifting.

740
00:36:45.901 --> 00:36:48.400
The transportation and logistics infrastructure of U.S. Postal

741
00:36:48.400 --> 00:36:51.000
Service which would have been hundreds of billions in CapEx,

742
00:36:51.000 --> 00:36:52.601
already existed.

743
00:36:52.601 --> 00:36:55.234
We didn't have to build the internet, it was run on,

744
00:36:55.234 --> 00:36:58.067
on long distance cables that were actually put in the ground

745
00:36:58.067 --> 00:37:00.534
for long-distance phone calls.

746
00:37:00.534 --> 00:37:01.968
And we didn't have to build a payment system,

747
00:37:01.968 --> 00:37:04.701
the credit card system already existed.

748
00:37:04.701 --> 00:37:06.801
So all these things would have been tens of billions

749
00:37:06.801 --> 00:37:09.100
or hundreds of billions in CapEx and we got to

750
00:37:09.100 --> 00:37:10.634
rest on top of them.

751
00:37:10.634 --> 00:37:13.934
That's why you don't see entrepreneurial dynamism

752
00:37:13.934 --> 00:37:16.267
in space like you do on the internet.

753
00:37:16.267 --> 00:37:19.901
On the internet, two kids in a dorm room can take, change

754
00:37:19.901 --> 00:37:23.400
an industry completely, and you can't do that in space.

755
00:37:23.400 --> 00:37:25.434
The price of admission is too high.

756
00:37:25.434 --> 00:37:29.167
Because the -- just getting to space is so expensive.

757
00:37:29.167 --> 00:37:32.267
And so if we can change, if I'm 80 years old, looking back on

758
00:37:32.267 --> 00:37:36.234
my life and the one thing I have done is make it so that there is

759
00:37:36.234 --> 00:37:38.934
this gigantic entrepreneurial explosion in space for the next

760
00:37:38.934 --> 00:37:41.067
generation, I will be a happy, happy man.

761
00:37:41.067 --> 00:37:43.234
OK, one other thing I want to say before we go

762
00:37:43.234 --> 00:37:45.601
and the last question, you and Bill Gates got together

763
00:37:45.601 --> 00:37:48.367
and started something called Grail, a company fighting cancer.

764
00:37:48.367 --> 00:37:49.400
Yes.

765
00:37:49.400 --> 00:37:51.067
And the idea is?

766
00:37:51.067 --> 00:37:53.667
The science of that is unbelievable.

767
00:37:53.667 --> 00:37:58.100
And basically, you can sequence -- tumors shed little bits of

768
00:37:58.100 --> 00:38:00.934
DNA into your bloodstream.

769
00:38:00.934 --> 00:38:03.868
And you can use sequencing technology to amplify those

770
00:38:03.868 --> 00:38:09.167
things and then detect cancers at very, very early stages.

771
00:38:09.167 --> 00:38:12.467
And for a lot of cancers early detection is a big deal.

772
00:38:12.467 --> 00:38:17.634
So this is -- the science of this is very promising,

773
00:38:17.634 --> 00:38:20.601
very real, and it might not work.

774
00:38:20.601 --> 00:38:21.601
The market --

775
00:38:21.601 --> 00:38:22.467
But it might.

776
00:38:22.467 --> 00:38:23.434
And I'm optimistic.

777
00:38:23.434 --> 00:38:24.234
The market cap --

778
00:38:24.234 --> 00:38:27.033
If it does work, it's a big, big deal.

779
00:38:27.033 --> 00:38:29.501
The market cap of Amazon has made you

780
00:38:29.501 --> 00:38:31.901
the second wealthiest person in the world.

781
00:38:31.901 --> 00:38:33.901
Second to Bill Gates.

782
00:38:33.901 --> 00:38:36.467
Can you imagine at some point in your life

783
00:38:36.467 --> 00:38:39.267
pursuing the kind of philanthropy?

784
00:38:39.267 --> 00:38:40.100
Well, yeah.

785
00:38:40.100 --> 00:38:42.901
If there is anything left after I finish building Blue Origin.

786
00:38:42.901 --> 00:38:48.601
(LAUGHTER AND APPLAUSE)

787
00:38:48.601 --> 00:38:49.667
We'll see.

788
00:38:49.667 --> 00:38:53.934
it's -- again, I did not choose Blue Origin based on -- you

789
00:38:53.934 --> 00:38:59.133
know, basically what I am doing right now is taking my Amazon

790
00:38:59.133 --> 00:39:01.901
winnings and investing them.

791
00:39:01.901 --> 00:39:04.601
Every time you see me sell stock on Amazon,

792
00:39:04.601 --> 00:39:07.801
it's send more money to the Blue Origin team.

793
00:39:07.801 --> 00:39:08.601
(LAUGHTER)

794
00:39:08.601 --> 00:39:10.033
I asked Jeff last night at the Natural Museum

795
00:39:10.033 --> 00:39:13.300
of History, what was the return on investment for Blue Origin,

796
00:39:13.300 --> 00:39:16.934
and he said to me as he slapped me, that is a rude question.

797
00:39:16.934 --> 00:39:17.934
That is a very rude question.

798
00:39:17.934 --> 00:39:18.934
(LAUGHTER)

799
00:39:18.934 --> 00:39:20.667
And, by the way, I do believe that Blue Origin

800
00:39:20.667 --> 00:39:23.501
can be a sustainable, profitable enterprise one day.

801
00:39:23.501 --> 00:39:27.234
But that is an investment horizon that would make

802
00:39:27.234 --> 00:39:30.067
most reasonable investors sick to their stomach.

803
00:39:30.067 --> 00:39:32.701
By 2018, somebody will be up on a vessel.

804
00:39:32.701 --> 00:39:33.234
Yeah.

805
00:39:33.234 --> 00:39:35.300
We are on track on our suborbital vehicle

806
00:39:35.300 --> 00:39:39.167
"New Shepherd" to fly paying passengers, hopefully in 2018.

807
00:39:39.167 --> 00:39:41.367
I keep telling the team, it's not a race.

808
00:39:41.367 --> 00:39:43.300
We'll do it when it's safe.

809
00:39:43.300 --> 00:39:45.868
But we're on track right now for 2018.

810
00:39:45.868 --> 00:39:47.634
On behalf of everybody in this room, and

811
00:39:47.634 --> 00:39:49.868
the Economic Club of New York, thank you, Jeff Bezos.

812
00:39:49.868 --> 00:39:50.801
Thank you, Charlie.

813
00:39:50.801 --> 00:39:53.767
(APPLAUSE)

